Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer monsoon patterns show Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 15 likely falling in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for mid-August when sea surface temperatures remain elevated, keep the lowest readings tightly clustered near 25–26°C, with the slight edge to 26°C reflecting expectations of limited clear-sky periods overnight. Thunderstorm timing and wind shifts could tip the exact minimum by a degree either way, explaining the near-even market split, while stronger cooling from heavier rainfall would favor 25°C and clearer breaks would support 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 45%
25°C 38%
27°C 11%
24°C 8%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
45%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 45%
25°C 38%
27°C 11%
24°C 8%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
45%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer monsoon patterns show Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 15 likely falling in the mid-20s Celsius amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for mid-August when sea surface temperatures remain elevated, keep the lowest readings tightly clustered near 25–26°C, with the slight edge to 26°C reflecting expectations of limited clear-sky periods overnight. Thunderstorm timing and wind shifts could tip the exact minimum by a degree either way, explaining the near-even market split, while stronger cooling from heavier rainfall would favor 25°C and clearer breaks would support 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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