Trader consensus in the Manila temperature market centers on 29°C as the most likely daily high for August 17, driven by the southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover and 60% rain probability across Metro Manila. Official PAGASA guidance projects a range of 26–32°C, while recent model runs and historical August baselines favor moderation near 28–30°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. Heavy rainfall expected through August 15–17 further supports lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect this scientific outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 31°C due to persistent monsoon dynamics and above 27°C reflecting minimal downside risk from typical seasonal conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 48%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
48%
30°C
15%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
1%
29°C 48%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$92 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$84 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$338 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$148 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C
$201 वॉल्यूम
30%
29°C
$672 वॉल्यूम
48%
30°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
15%
31°C
$176 वॉल्यूम
4%
32°C
$224 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
$64 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Manila temperature market centers on 29°C as the most likely daily high for August 17, driven by the southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover and 60% rain probability across Metro Manila. Official PAGASA guidance projects a range of 26–32°C, while recent model runs and historical August baselines favor moderation near 28–30°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. Heavy rainfall expected through August 15–17 further supports lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect this scientific outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 31°C due to persistent monsoon dynamics and above 27°C reflecting minimal downside risk from typical seasonal conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,108समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Manila temperature market centers on 29°C as the most likely daily high for August 17, driven by the southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover and 60% rain probability across Metro Manila. Official PAGASA guidance projects a range of 26–32°C, while recent model runs and historical August baselines favor moderation near 28–30°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. Heavy rainfall expected through August 15–17 further supports lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect this scientific outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 31°C due to persistent monsoon dynamics and above 27°C reflecting minimal downside risk from typical seasonal conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,108समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Manila temperature market centers on 29°C as the most likely daily high for August 17, driven by the southwest monsoon (habagat) delivering widespread cloud cover and 60% rain probability across Metro Manila. Official PAGASA guidance projects a range of 26–32°C, while recent model runs and historical August baselines favor moderation near 28–30°C amid frequent showers and high humidity. Heavy rainfall expected through August 15–17 further supports lower maxima by limiting solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect this scientific outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 31°C due to persistent monsoon dynamics and above 27°C reflecting minimal downside risk from typical seasonal conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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