Recent meteorological guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department, combined with Karachi’s August climatology of average daily highs near 32°C, has anchored trader consensus on that threshold for August 17. Persistent monsoon humidity, expected light to moderate rainfall, and cloud cover from Arabian Sea moisture limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered between 31–33°C. Official model consensus shows no strong warming signal until later in the week, while historical analogs for mid-August under similar steering patterns rarely exceed 34°C. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C receiving the next-largest shares as plausible deviations driven by minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को कराची में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अगस्त को कराची में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 56%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
30°C 3%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
23%
32°C
56%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
30°C 3%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
$276 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$72 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$476 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$318 वॉल्यूम
23%
32°C
$1,233 वॉल्यूम
56%
33°C
$261 वॉल्यूम
20%
34°C
$289 वॉल्यूम
2%
35°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
$96 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department, combined with Karachi’s August climatology of average daily highs near 32°C, has anchored trader consensus on that threshold for August 17. Persistent monsoon humidity, expected light to moderate rainfall, and cloud cover from Arabian Sea moisture limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered between 31–33°C. Official model consensus shows no strong warming signal until later in the week, while historical analogs for mid-August under similar steering patterns rarely exceed 34°C. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C receiving the next-largest shares as plausible deviations driven by minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,158समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department, combined with Karachi’s August climatology of average daily highs near 32°C, has anchored trader consensus on that threshold for August 17. Persistent monsoon humidity, expected light to moderate rainfall, and cloud cover from Arabian Sea moisture limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered between 31–33°C. Official model consensus shows no strong warming signal until later in the week, while historical analogs for mid-August under similar steering patterns rarely exceed 34°C. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C receiving the next-largest shares as plausible deviations driven by minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,158समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department, combined with Karachi’s August climatology of average daily highs near 32°C, has anchored trader consensus on that threshold for August 17. Persistent monsoon humidity, expected light to moderate rainfall, and cloud cover from Arabian Sea moisture limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered between 31–33°C. Official model consensus shows no strong warming signal until later in the week, while historical analogs for mid-August under similar steering patterns rarely exceed 34°C. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C at 56.5% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C receiving the next-largest shares as plausible deviations driven by minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or wind.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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