Forecast models and observational data from agencies like INMET and international services converge on a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime solar heating during the dry winter season when average highs reach only 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with hourly projections peaking near 29.7°C under stable high-pressure conditions and negligible precipitation. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 30°C and 29°C, while lower odds for 31°C+ or sub-28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range forecasts this close to the observation window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 19%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 19%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from agencies like INMET and international services converge on a peak temperature near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and daytime solar heating during the dry winter season when average highs reach only 23–25°C. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with hourly projections peaking near 29.7°C under stable high-pressure conditions and negligible precipitation. This consensus underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 30°C and 29°C, while lower odds for 31°C+ or sub-28°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range forecasts this close to the observation window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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