Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
36°C 29%
35°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
27%
36°C
29%
37°C
11%
38°C
3%
39°C या उससे अधिक
1%
36°C 29%
35°C 27%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
$1 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$49 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
11%
34°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
19%
35°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
27%
36°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
29%
37°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
11%
38°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
3%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$36 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$460समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$460समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 35–36 °C for Guangzhou on 17 August, with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values. Subtropical summer conditions, including monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, create narrow uncertainty bands around these thresholds, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly at 35 °C (27 %) and 36 °C (28.5 %) while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly refinements to precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, will likely shift the balance between these two leading bins before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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