Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and German Weather Service models indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Recent warm anomalies, including verified highs of 32–35°C earlier in the month, have given way to a seasonal cooling trend consistent with late-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 23°C. Model spread and potential for localized heating under variable cloud cover introduce the modest probability mass around 25°C, while probabilities for 26°C or higher remain low due to limited moisture and stable atmospheric conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official DWD guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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