Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 emphasize cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which temper daytime heating and align with market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C highs. A strengthened subtropical Pacific High has driven above-normal seasonal temperatures across Honshu, yet short-term convective activity and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Key variables include the timing of any showers, urban heat island amplification, and precise wind patterns that could allow brief clear intervals to push maxima toward 33°C or hold them at 30°C. Updated JMA model runs and hourly observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 emphasize cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which temper daytime heating and align with market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C highs. A strengthened subtropical Pacific High has driven above-normal seasonal temperatures across Honshu, yet short-term convective activity and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Key variables include the timing of any showers, urban heat island amplification, and precise wind patterns that could allow brief clear intervals to push maxima toward 33°C or hold them at 30°C. Updated JMA model runs and hourly observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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