Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$2,145 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$260 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$138 वॉल्यूम
2%
28°C
$28 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$68 वॉल्यूम
9%
30°C
$94 वॉल्यूम
28%
31°C
$133 वॉल्यूम
34%
32°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
19%
33°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
7%
34°C
$115 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C or higher
$5 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,043समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,043समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles show Tokyo's August 21 high temperature most likely settling at 30–31°C, with the tightest probabilities clustered there due to modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon sea-breeze timing. Current subtropical ridge positioning supports continued warm advection, yet slight variations in low-level moisture and cloud cover can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical mid-August climatology centers near 31°C, providing a narrow baseline against which small forecast adjustments move implied odds. Traders weigh the latest model runs and JMA guidance released over the next 48 hours, recognizing that resolution hinges on official maximum readings from the Tokyo station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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