Forecast uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 19 centers on ensemble model spreads from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, which currently cluster maximums between 26–29°C amid variable high-pressure ridging and potential late-day showers. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover over Bavaria, directly affecting surface heating rates and explaining the tight market distribution with 28°C edging 27°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet short-range variability in steering flow and moisture advection keeps probabilities distributed across this narrow band rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 29%
27°C 27%
26°C 20%
29°C 15%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
20%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
27°C 27%
26°C 20%
29°C 15%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$148 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$188 वॉल्यूम
6%
26°C
$248 वॉल्यूम
20%
27°C
$1,283 वॉल्यूम
27%
28°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
29%
29°C
$1,001 वॉल्यूम
15%
30°C
$364 वॉल्यूम
5%
31°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 19 centers on ensemble model spreads from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, which currently cluster maximums between 26–29°C amid variable high-pressure ridging and potential late-day showers. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover over Bavaria, directly affecting surface heating rates and explaining the tight market distribution with 28°C edging 27°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet short-range variability in steering flow and moisture advection keeps probabilities distributed across this narrow band rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,923समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 19 centers on ensemble model spreads from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, which currently cluster maximums between 26–29°C amid variable high-pressure ridging and potential late-day showers. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover over Bavaria, directly affecting surface heating rates and explaining the tight market distribution with 28°C edging 27°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet short-range variability in steering flow and moisture advection keeps probabilities distributed across this narrow band rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,923समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Munich's peak temperature on August 19 centers on ensemble model spreads from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, which currently cluster maximums between 26–29°C amid variable high-pressure ridging and potential late-day showers. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover over Bavaria, directly affecting surface heating rates and explaining the tight market distribution with 28°C edging 27°C. Historical August baselines near 23°C provide context, yet short-range variability in steering flow and moisture advection keeps probabilities distributed across this narrow band rather than converging on a single outcome. Updated runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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