Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 27–28°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Istanbul on August 21 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with Black Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, yet current guidance from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates slightly suppressed highs due to persistent onshore breezes and limited insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with these stable short-range projections two days ahead, while the modest shares for 28°C and 26°C capture residual uncertainty from potential model adjustments or local urban heat effects before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
51%
28°C
18%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 22%
28°C 18%
25°C 5%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$85 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$187 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
26°C
$1,356 वॉल्यूम
22%
27°C
$350 वॉल्यूम
51%
28°C
$182 वॉल्यूम
18%
29°C
$74 वॉल्यूम
5%
30°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 27–28°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Istanbul on August 21 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with Black Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, yet current guidance from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates slightly suppressed highs due to persistent onshore breezes and limited insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with these stable short-range projections two days ahead, while the modest shares for 28°C and 26°C capture residual uncertainty from potential model adjustments or local urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,456समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 27–28°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Istanbul on August 21 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with Black Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, yet current guidance from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates slightly suppressed highs due to persistent onshore breezes and limited insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with these stable short-range projections two days ahead, while the modest shares for 28°C and 26°C capture residual uncertainty from potential model adjustments or local urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,456समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 27–28°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Istanbul on August 21 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with Black Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, yet current guidance from sources such as the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs indicates slightly suppressed highs due to persistent onshore breezes and limited insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with these stable short-range projections two days ahead, while the modest shares for 28°C and 26°C capture residual uncertainty from potential model adjustments or local urban heat effects before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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