Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which are moderating maximum temperatures into the 30–32°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under a strengthened Pacific High, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–80%) can elevate perceived warmth without pushing recorded maxima higher. The agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures provides broader context, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation probability are the key variables tempering trader consensus around 31°C. Updated JMA model runs and any revisions to the 24–48-hour forecast window will likely drive the next shifts in positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
27%
31°C
40%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 8%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$201 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$110 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$188 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$139 वॉल्यूम
8%
30°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
27%
31°C
$746 वॉल्यूम
40%
32°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
18%
33°C
$333 वॉल्यूम
5%
34°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C or higher
$17 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which are moderating maximum temperatures into the 30–32°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under a strengthened Pacific High, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–80%) can elevate perceived warmth without pushing recorded maxima higher. The agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures provides broader context, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation probability are the key variables tempering trader consensus around 31°C. Updated JMA model runs and any revisions to the 24–48-hour forecast window will likely drive the next shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,952समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which are moderating maximum temperatures into the 30–32°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under a strengthened Pacific High, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–80%) can elevate perceived warmth without pushing recorded maxima higher. The agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures provides broader context, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation probability are the key variables tempering trader consensus around 31°C. Updated JMA model runs and any revisions to the 24–48-hour forecast window will likely drive the next shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,952समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 19 point to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which are moderating maximum temperatures into the 30–32°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under a strengthened Pacific High, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often 75–80%) can elevate perceived warmth without pushing recorded maxima higher. The agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures provides broader context, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation probability are the key variables tempering trader consensus around 31°C. Updated JMA model runs and any revisions to the 24–48-hour forecast window will likely drive the next shifts in positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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