Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through August 18, show high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean driving clear skies and light winds for Istanbul on August 20. This setup favors peak temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28°C while limiting extreme heat or marine cooling from the Bosporus. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, keeping 27°C and 30°C viable but less probable. No major frontal systems or heat advection signals appear in the latest guidance, anchoring trader consensus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 27%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated through August 18, show high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean driving clear skies and light winds for Istanbul on August 20. This setup favors peak temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 28°C while limiting extreme heat or marine cooling from the Bosporus. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, keeping 27°C and 30°C viable but less probable. No major frontal systems or heat advection signals appear in the latest guidance, anchoring trader consensus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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