Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अग, 2026
26°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
10%
30°C
$49 वॉल्यूम
22%
31°C
$54 वॉल्यूम
39%
32°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
23%
33°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
6%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$273समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$273समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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