Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a Moscow high near 20–21°C for August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover and light winds that reduce daytime solar heating amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors differentiate the closely matched 34.5% and 31% market-implied odds for 20°C versus 21°C, as even modest variations in cloud timing or atmospheric moisture can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and possible showers favor slightly cooler outcomes than mid-month peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds based on official station maxima.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
22°C 15%
19°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
15%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
22°C 15%
19°C 14%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
15%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a Moscow high near 20–21°C for August 20, driven by increasing cloud cover and light winds that reduce daytime solar heating amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors differentiate the closely matched 34.5% and 31% market-implied odds for 20°C versus 21°C, as even modest variations in cloud timing or atmospheric moisture can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet current steering patterns and possible showers favor slightly cooler outcomes than mid-month peaks. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds based on official station maxima.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न