Recent official forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11 °C on 19 August under a strengthening southerly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, possible showers, and limited solar heating. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns the highest probability to near-average August temperatures (historical daily highs typically 12–13 °C). Persistent southerlies advect cooler maritime air across the region, suppressing daytime maxima, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation further moderate warming. Model guidance shows tight clustering between 10 °C and 12 °C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C (56.5 %) and 12 °C (26.5 %), with 10 °C (15.5 %) as the next most likely outcome. Updated model runs closer to the date will determine whether any late shift in wind or cloud cover pushes the maximum above or below this narrow band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
16%
11°C
56%
12°C
27%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
नया
नया
19 अग, 2026
5°C or below
$196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
6°C
$186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
9°C
$108 वॉल्यूम
3%
10°C
$361 वॉल्यूम
16%
11°C
$1,355 वॉल्यूम
56%
12°C
$398 वॉल्यूम
27%
13°C
$107 वॉल्यूम
3%
14°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
15°C or higher
$41 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11 °C on 19 August under a strengthening southerly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, possible showers, and limited solar heating. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns the highest probability to near-average August temperatures (historical daily highs typically 12–13 °C). Persistent southerlies advect cooler maritime air across the region, suppressing daytime maxima, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation further moderate warming. Model guidance shows tight clustering between 10 °C and 12 °C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C (56.5 %) and 12 °C (26.5 %), with 10 °C (15.5 %) as the next most likely outcome. Updated model runs closer to the date will determine whether any late shift in wind or cloud cover pushes the maximum above or below this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,867समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11 °C on 19 August under a strengthening southerly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, possible showers, and limited solar heating. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns the highest probability to near-average August temperatures (historical daily highs typically 12–13 °C). Persistent southerlies advect cooler maritime air across the region, suppressing daytime maxima, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation further moderate warming. Model guidance shows tight clustering between 10 °C and 12 °C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C (56.5 %) and 12 °C (26.5 %), with 10 °C (15.5 %) as the next most likely outcome. Updated model runs closer to the date will determine whether any late shift in wind or cloud cover pushes the maximum above or below this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,867समाप्ति तिथि
19 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, from MetService and the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 10–11 °C on 19 August under a strengthening southerly flow, with mostly cloudy skies, possible showers, and limited solar heating. These conditions align with the seasonal outlook from NIWA, which assigns the highest probability to near-average August temperatures (historical daily highs typically 12–13 °C). Persistent southerlies advect cooler maritime air across the region, suppressing daytime maxima, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation further moderate warming. Model guidance shows tight clustering between 10 °C and 12 °C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 11 °C (56.5 %) and 12 °C (26.5 %), with 10 °C (15.5 %) as the next most likely outcome. Updated model runs closer to the date will determine whether any late shift in wind or cloud cover pushes the maximum above or below this narrow band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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