Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating over northern France, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a maximum temperature in Paris on August 4 centered around 32–34°C. Model runs exhibit modest spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection of slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. These values align closely with climatological August averages near 25–28°C while reflecting the lingering influence of an early-summer heat pattern; updated model guidance and official Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 22%
34°C 11%
29°C or below
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
22%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 27%
33°C 22%
34°C 11%
29°C or below
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
36%
33°C
22%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating over northern France, supporting mostly sunny conditions and a maximum temperature in Paris on August 4 centered around 32–34°C. Model runs exhibit modest spread due to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection of slightly cooler maritime air, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly clustered in trader pricing. These values align closely with climatological August averages near 25–28°C while reflecting the lingering influence of an early-summer heat pattern; updated model guidance and official Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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