The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 जुलाई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
20 जुलाई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
नया
$14,734 वॉल्यूम
नया
$14,734 वॉल्यूम
20 जुल, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F या अधिक
<1%
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
नया
$14,734 वॉल्यूम
नया
$14,734 वॉल्यूम
20 जुल, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
$1,361 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$217 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$590 वॉल्यूम
2%
68-69°F
$865 वॉल्यूम
10%
70-71°F
$829 वॉल्यूम
25%
72-73°F
$5,322 वॉल्यूम
42%
74-75°F
$953 वॉल्यूम
14%
76-77°F
$574 वॉल्यूम
7%
78-79°F
$2,487 वॉल्यूम
1%
80-81°F
$250 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82°F या अधिक
$1,284 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,734समाप्ति तिथि
20 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$14,734समाप्ति तिथि
20 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThe market-implied odds favor 72-73°F as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s July 20 high, reflecting trader consensus on a moderately suppressed marine layer that permits modest afternoon warming under persistent high pressure. The city’s characteristic summer temperature inversion—driven by cool Pacific waters and the California Current—typically caps highs near the 68°F July climatological mean, yet recent model runs show reduced onshore flow and a shallower layer depth allowing peaks in the low 70s. Stronger La Niña conditions this season have reinforced the marine layer overall, creating uncertainty around exact timing of any sea-breeze surge or fog clearance that could shift the high by a degree or two. National Weather Service updates through the evening of July 19 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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