San Francisco’s coastal marine layer and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 67–70°F on July 9, 2026, which explains why the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets together command over half the market-implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show modest warming under a building thermal trough, with any inland penetration of warmer air or delayed marine-layer clearance able to push the official KSFO high into the low 70s, while deeper fog or stronger northwest winds would favor the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport places the mean daily maximum at 67–68°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4°F, so small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction create the tight clustering traders observe. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs issued overnight will be the next key inputs likely to move the closely matched leading contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 जुलाई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
9 जुलाई को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F या उससे कम <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,446 वॉल्यूम
$44,446 वॉल्यूम
9 जुल, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
100%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F या अधिक
<1%
66-67°F 100.0%
59°F या उससे कम <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$44,446 वॉल्यूम
$44,446 वॉल्यूम
9 जुल, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
$1,791 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$1,064 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$3,248 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$5,203 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$8,650 वॉल्यूम
100%
68-69°F
$10,953 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$5,864 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$2,852 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$1,309 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$1,309 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78°F या अधिक
$2,202 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco’s coastal marine layer and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 67–70°F on July 9, 2026, which explains why the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets together command over half the market-implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show modest warming under a building thermal trough, with any inland penetration of warmer air or delayed marine-layer clearance able to push the official KSFO high into the low 70s, while deeper fog or stronger northwest winds would favor the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport places the mean daily maximum at 67–68°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4°F, so small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction create the tight clustering traders observe. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs issued overnight will be the next key inputs likely to move the closely matched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,446समाप्ति तिथि
9 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco’s coastal marine layer and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 67–70°F on July 9, 2026, which explains why the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets together command over half the market-implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show modest warming under a building thermal trough, with any inland penetration of warmer air or delayed marine-layer clearance able to push the official KSFO high into the low 70s, while deeper fog or stronger northwest winds would favor the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport places the mean daily maximum at 67–68°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4°F, so small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction create the tight clustering traders observe. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs issued overnight will be the next key inputs likely to move the closely matched leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$44,446समाप्ति तिथि
9 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSan Francisco’s coastal marine layer and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 67–70°F on July 9, 2026, which explains why the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets together command over half the market-implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show modest warming under a building thermal trough, with any inland penetration of warmer air or delayed marine-layer clearance able to push the official KSFO high into the low 70s, while deeper fog or stronger northwest winds would favor the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport places the mean daily maximum at 67–68°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4°F, so small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction create the tight clustering traders observe. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs issued overnight will be the next key inputs likely to move the closely matched leading contracts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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