Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 30%
35°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 12%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
20%
34°C
30%
35°C
27%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
35°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 12%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
28°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
33°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
20%
34°C
$28 वॉल्यूम
30%
35°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
27%
36°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
12%
37°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$220समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$220समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, form the main catalyst for trader positioning on Seoul/Incheon’s August 4 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and extended-range models indicate daytime highs near 34–37°C, with Incheon’s coastal location potentially moderating peaks by 1–2°C relative to inland Seoul. Recent national records above 41°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while ensemble forecasts show limited spread around 35°C before any late-day sea-breeze or isolated convection effects. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the closely matched 33–36°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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