Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a July 4 high near 30°C amid moderate rain and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover and South China Sea moisture influx. These conditions limit peak solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Subtropical July climatology supports baselines of 29–32°C, yet recent runs show slightly cooler guidance than seasonal averages due to expected convective activity. Traders weigh NHC-style regional model updates and local station data releases through July 3 as the key near-term catalysts that could resolve remaining uncertainty between the top outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 4?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 4?
29°C 35%
28°C 21%
30°C 21%
31°C 13%
नया
$10,136 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,136 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
21%
29°C
35%
30°C
21%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
28°C 21%
30°C 21%
31°C 13%
नया
$10,136 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,136 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
23°C or below
$657 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$633 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$663 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$750 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$453 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C
$463 वॉल्यूम
21%
29°C
$971 वॉल्यूम
35%
30°C
$3,638 वॉल्यूम
21%
31°C
$719 वॉल्यूम
13%
32°C
$470 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C or higher
$779 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a July 4 high near 30°C amid moderate rain and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover and South China Sea moisture influx. These conditions limit peak solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Subtropical July climatology supports baselines of 29–32°C, yet recent runs show slightly cooler guidance than seasonal averages due to expected convective activity. Traders weigh NHC-style regional model updates and local station data releases through July 3 as the key near-term catalysts that could resolve remaining uncertainty between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a July 4 high near 30°C amid moderate rain and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover and South China Sea moisture influx. These conditions limit peak solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Subtropical July climatology supports baselines of 29–32°C, yet recent runs show slightly cooler guidance than seasonal averages due to expected convective activity. Traders weigh NHC-style regional model updates and local station data releases through July 3 as the key near-term catalysts that could resolve remaining uncertainty between the top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$10,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a July 4 high near 30°C amid moderate rain and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover and South China Sea moisture influx. These conditions limit peak solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, as small shifts in precipitation timing or intensity can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Subtropical July climatology supports baselines of 29–32°C, yet recent runs show slightly cooler guidance than seasonal averages due to expected convective activity. Traders weigh NHC-style regional model updates and local station data releases through July 3 as the key near-term catalysts that could resolve remaining uncertainty between the top outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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