Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover over southern Ontario, supporting a Toronto high near the July climatological average of 26°C on July 21, which explains its leading 26% market-implied probability. Subtle variations in forecast guidance around lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak shortwave troughs create the tight clustering between 24–28°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads that show only modest day-to-day warming potential. Urban heat-island amplification and dew-point trends add further uncertainty within this narrow range, while probabilities drop sharply above 29°C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 जुलाई को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 जुलाई को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 33%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
28°C 14%
नया
$12,412 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,412 वॉल्यूम
21 जुल, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
23%
26°C
33%
27°C
19%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या अधिक
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 23%
27°C 19%
28°C 14%
नया
$12,412 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,412 वॉल्यूम
21 जुल, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$938 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$1,618 वॉल्यूम
10%
25°C
$1,294 वॉल्यूम
23%
26°C
$926 वॉल्यूम
33%
27°C
$2,200 वॉल्यूम
19%
28°C
$2,428 वॉल्यूम
14%
29°C
$1,172 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$222 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$945 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$358 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C या अधिक
$310 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover over southern Ontario, supporting a Toronto high near the July climatological average of 26°C on July 21, which explains its leading 26% market-implied probability. Subtle variations in forecast guidance around lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak shortwave troughs create the tight clustering between 24–28°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads that show only modest day-to-day warming potential. Urban heat-island amplification and dew-point trends add further uncertainty within this narrow range, while probabilities drop sharply above 29°C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,412समाप्ति तिथि
21 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover over southern Ontario, supporting a Toronto high near the July climatological average of 26°C on July 21, which explains its leading 26% market-implied probability. Subtle variations in forecast guidance around lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak shortwave troughs create the tight clustering between 24–28°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads that show only modest day-to-day warming potential. Urban heat-island amplification and dew-point trends add further uncertainty within this narrow range, while probabilities drop sharply above 29°C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,412समाप्ति तिथि
21 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like Environment Canada points to moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover over southern Ontario, supporting a Toronto high near the July climatological average of 26°C on July 21, which explains its leading 26% market-implied probability. Subtle variations in forecast guidance around lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak shortwave troughs create the tight clustering between 24–28°C outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spreads that show only modest day-to-day warming potential. Urban heat-island amplification and dew-point trends add further uncertainty within this narrow range, while probabilities drop sharply above 29°C absent stronger subsidence or southerly flow. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these distinctions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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