Recent model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a modest high of 18–20 °C in Warsaw on July 10, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a weak Atlantic trough suppressing daytime heating. This setup contrasts with typical early-July climatology of 23–24 °C maxima, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19 °C (30.5 %), 18 °C (21.5 %), and 20 °C (18.5 %). Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and 2-meter temperature bias in the 48-hour window; small shifts in these can swing the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs heavily, with fresh data releases expected to refine resolution ahead of the close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 जुलाई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 जुलाई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19°C 44%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 8.5%
नया
$18,026 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,026 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
28%
19°C
44%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 8.5%
नया
$18,026 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,026 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$330 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$785 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$1,435 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$2,233 वॉल्यूम
9%
18°C
$2,075 वॉल्यूम
28%
19°C
$3,292 वॉल्यूम
44%
20°C
$4,051 वॉल्यूम
15%
21°C
$1,783 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$812 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
$715 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a modest high of 18–20 °C in Warsaw on July 10, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a weak Atlantic trough suppressing daytime heating. This setup contrasts with typical early-July climatology of 23–24 °C maxima, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19 °C (30.5 %), 18 °C (21.5 %), and 20 °C (18.5 %). Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and 2-meter temperature bias in the 48-hour window; small shifts in these can swing the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs heavily, with fresh data releases expected to refine resolution ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,026समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a modest high of 18–20 °C in Warsaw on July 10, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a weak Atlantic trough suppressing daytime heating. This setup contrasts with typical early-July climatology of 23–24 °C maxima, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19 °C (30.5 %), 18 °C (21.5 %), and 20 °C (18.5 %). Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and 2-meter temperature bias in the 48-hour window; small shifts in these can swing the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs heavily, with fresh data releases expected to refine resolution ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$18,026समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS points to a modest high of 18–20 °C in Warsaw on July 10, driven by persistent northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover associated with a weak Atlantic trough suppressing daytime heating. This setup contrasts with typical early-July climatology of 23–24 °C maxima, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19 °C (30.5 %), 18 °C (21.5 %), and 20 °C (18.5 %). Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and 2-meter temperature bias in the 48-hour window; small shifts in these can swing the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs heavily, with fresh data releases expected to refine resolution ahead of the close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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