Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a cool maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover over central Poland as the dominant factors capping Warsaw's July 21 maximum near 18–19 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Persistent northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and suppress afternoon peaks compared to typical July climatology of 23–24 °C. Minor differences between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing or boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, while slight upside to 20 °C would require faster advection of warmer air than currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 जुलाई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 जुलाई को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 43%
17°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 5.2%
$18,740 वॉल्यूम
$18,740 वॉल्यूम
21 जुल, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
9%
17°C
31%
18°C
43%
19°C
18%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 31%
19°C 18%
16°C 5.2%
$18,740 वॉल्यूम
$18,740 वॉल्यूम
21 जुल, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$208 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$211 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$694 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$2,175 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$1,509 वॉल्यूम
9%
17°C
$4,003 वॉल्यूम
31%
18°C
$2,083 वॉल्यूम
43%
19°C
$3,248 वॉल्यूम
18%
20°C
$2,245 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,040 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C या उससे अधिक
$1,371 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a cool maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover over central Poland as the dominant factors capping Warsaw's July 21 maximum near 18–19 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Persistent northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and suppress afternoon peaks compared to typical July climatology of 23–24 °C. Minor differences between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing or boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, while slight upside to 20 °C would require faster advection of warmer air than currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,740समाप्ति तिथि
21 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a cool maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover over central Poland as the dominant factors capping Warsaw's July 21 maximum near 18–19 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Persistent northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and suppress afternoon peaks compared to typical July climatology of 23–24 °C. Minor differences between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing or boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, while slight upside to 20 °C would require faster advection of warmer air than currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$18,740समाप्ति तिथि
21 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models highlight a cool maritime air mass and extensive cloud cover over central Poland as the dominant factors capping Warsaw's July 21 maximum near 18–19 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Persistent northeasterly flow and possible light precipitation are expected to limit solar heating and suppress afternoon peaks compared to typical July climatology of 23–24 °C. Minor differences between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing or boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, while slight upside to 20 °C would require faster advection of warmer air than currently indicated. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread against inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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