Ensemble forecasts from global models position Wuhan’s August 4 peak in the mid-30s Celsius amid persistent subtropical ridging, high humidity, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Trader clustering around 36–38 °C reflects this consensus while acknowledging spread in afternoon convective timing—isolated thunderstorms could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, whereas clearer skies would push readings toward 38 °C. Historical early-August baselines near 34–36 °C, combined with current soil moisture and urban heat-island effects, further narrow the plausible range and explain why outcomes outside 35–39 °C carry low implied probability ahead of the next model updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को वुहान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को वुहान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 33%
38°C 27%
36°C 18%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
32°C या उससे कम
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
11%
36°C
18%
37°C
33%
38°C
27%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C या उससे अधिक
2%
37°C 33%
38°C 27%
36°C 18%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
32°C या उससे कम
$15 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
37°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
38°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
27%
39°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
40°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
41°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
1%
42°C या उससे अधिक
$15 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global models position Wuhan’s August 4 peak in the mid-30s Celsius amid persistent subtropical ridging, high humidity, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Trader clustering around 36–38 °C reflects this consensus while acknowledging spread in afternoon convective timing—isolated thunderstorms could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, whereas clearer skies would push readings toward 38 °C. Historical early-August baselines near 34–36 °C, combined with current soil moisture and urban heat-island effects, further narrow the plausible range and explain why outcomes outside 35–39 °C carry low implied probability ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from global models position Wuhan’s August 4 peak in the mid-30s Celsius amid persistent subtropical ridging, high humidity, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Trader clustering around 36–38 °C reflects this consensus while acknowledging spread in afternoon convective timing—isolated thunderstorms could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, whereas clearer skies would push readings toward 38 °C. Historical early-August baselines near 34–36 °C, combined with current soil moisture and urban heat-island effects, further narrow the plausible range and explain why outcomes outside 35–39 °C carry low implied probability ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$93समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global models position Wuhan’s August 4 peak in the mid-30s Celsius amid persistent subtropical ridging, high humidity, and weak steering flow that favors daytime heating. Trader clustering around 36–38 °C reflects this consensus while acknowledging spread in afternoon convective timing—isolated thunderstorms could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, whereas clearer skies would push readings toward 38 °C. Historical early-August baselines near 34–36 °C, combined with current soil moisture and urban heat-island effects, further narrow the plausible range and explain why outcomes outside 35–39 °C carry low implied probability ahead of the next model updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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