Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
5 जुल, 2026
24°C or below
$52 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$394 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$422 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$262 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$177 वॉल्यूम
21%
29°C
$1,028 वॉल्यूम
36%
30°C
$3,034 वॉल्यूम
22%
31°C
$201 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$311 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$369 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C or higher
$61 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,296समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,296समाप्ति तिथि
5 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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