Stable high-pressure dominance across central China is supporting clear skies and light northeasterly flow into Wuhan, keeping daytime maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range for October 9. Multiple model runs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation, allowing strong diurnal heating under autumn insolation while preventing significant advection of cooler air. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 28–29 °C (combined 65 %), reflecting trader assessment of the narrow spread in official guidance. Historical October baselines for Wuhan average near 23–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly sustained by the blocking pattern; the next model updates from global centers will determine whether any subtle ridge adjustment shifts the peak by 1 °C.