In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% implied probability, driven by former state Sen. Christina Bohannan's near-victory over incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the razor-thin 2024 contest and her competitive fundraising—$5.1 million raised through March 31, nearly matching the Republican's $5.7 million. Recent FEC reports from April highlight Democratic momentum in this Toss Up race per Cook Political Report. Ahead of June 2 closed primaries, Bohannan leads Democrat Travis Terrell amid health care debates, while Miller-Meeks faces MAGA challenger David Pautsch; a rematch looms as the key battleground dynamic.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
26%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$734 वॉल्यूम
66%
Republican Party
$641 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% implied probability, driven by former state Sen. Christina Bohannan's near-victory over incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the razor-thin 2024 contest and her competitive fundraising—$5.1 million raised through March 31, nearly matching the Republican's $5.7 million. Recent FEC reports from April highlight Democratic momentum in this Toss Up race per Cook Political Report. Ahead of June 2 closed primaries, Bohannan leads Democrat Travis Terrell amid health care debates, while Miller-Meeks faces MAGA challenger David Pautsch; a rematch looms as the key battleground dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,374समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% implied probability, driven by former state Sen. Christina Bohannan's near-victory over incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the razor-thin 2024 contest and her competitive fundraising—$5.1 million raised through March 31, nearly matching the Republican's $5.7 million. Recent FEC reports from April highlight Democratic momentum in this Toss Up race per Cook Political Report. Ahead of June 2 closed primaries, Bohannan leads Democrat Travis Terrell amid health care debates, while Miller-Meeks faces MAGA challenger David Pautsch; a rematch looms as the key battleground dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,374समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 64.5% implied probability, driven by former state Sen. Christina Bohannan's near-victory over incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in the razor-thin 2024 contest and her competitive fundraising—$5.1 million raised through March 31, nearly matching the Republican's $5.7 million. Recent FEC reports from April highlight Democratic momentum in this Toss Up race per Cook Political Report. Ahead of June 2 closed primaries, Bohannan leads Democrat Travis Terrell amid health care debates, while Miller-Meeks faces MAGA challenger David Pautsch; a rematch looms as the key battleground dynamic.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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