Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered precipitation over Guangzhou driven by regional monsoon influences, moderating the overnight radiative cooling and pointing to a minimum temperature near the 25–26°C climatological average for late August. This setup aligns with observed conditions in the prior 48 hours, where lows have hovered in the mid-20s Celsius amid easterly to northerly flows of 2–6 mph. Trader sentiment remains closely split between warmer and cooler outcomes because small shifts in timing of any clearing or heavier rain bands could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while the market assigns low probability to extremes outside historical ranges. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of August 31 will likely refine these probabilities.