Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature near 31–33 °C on August 31 in Guangzhou, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon moisture from the South China Sea, elevated precipitable water, and widespread convective activity are expected to increase cloud cover and showers, limiting surface insolation and capping afternoon heat buildup compared with the 33 °C climatological average. Subtle differences in model timing of rainfall onset, low-level wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 31 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with drier or delayed-storm scenarios favoring the upper end. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 29%
32°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C 15%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
27%
33°C
29%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
33°C 29%
32°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C 15%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$348 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$192 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$118 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
16%
32°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
27%
33°C
$16 वॉल्यूम
29%
34°C
$76 वॉल्यूम
15%
35°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$23 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature near 31–33 °C on August 31 in Guangzhou, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon moisture from the South China Sea, elevated precipitable water, and widespread convective activity are expected to increase cloud cover and showers, limiting surface insolation and capping afternoon heat buildup compared with the 33 °C climatological average. Subtle differences in model timing of rainfall onset, low-level wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 31 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with drier or delayed-storm scenarios favoring the upper end. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,107समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature near 31–33 °C on August 31 in Guangzhou, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon moisture from the South China Sea, elevated precipitable water, and widespread convective activity are expected to increase cloud cover and showers, limiting surface insolation and capping afternoon heat buildup compared with the 33 °C climatological average. Subtle differences in model timing of rainfall onset, low-level wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 31 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with drier or delayed-storm scenarios favoring the upper end. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,107समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a highest temperature near 31–33 °C on August 31 in Guangzhou, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon moisture from the South China Sea, elevated precipitable water, and widespread convective activity are expected to increase cloud cover and showers, limiting surface insolation and capping afternoon heat buildup compared with the 33 °C climatological average. Subtle differences in model timing of rainfall onset, low-level wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 31 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with drier or delayed-storm scenarios favoring the upper end. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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