Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in London on July 6?
Lowest temperature in London on July 6?
18°C 47%
19°C 34%
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
नया
नया
6 जुल, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
33%
16°C
33%
17°C
23%
18°C
47%
19°C
34%
20°C
33%
21°C
33%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
19°C 34%
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
नया
नया
6 जुल, 2026
14°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
33%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C or higher
$22 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54समाप्ति तिथि
6 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$54समाप्ति तिथि
6 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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