Enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by distant low-pressure systems, is delivering persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 31. These conditions limit daytime heating while maintaining elevated nighttime humidity and reduced radiational cooling, supporting forecast overnight lows of 26–28°C according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble models. Trader consensus around 24–27°C reflects this baseline, with elevated odds on 21°C or below capturing uncertainty in localized heavy-rain cooling or model spread. Historical late-August norms near 24–26°C provide context, but current monsoon strength favors warmer minima; fresh PAGASA bulletins and updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
59%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C या अधिक
2%
21°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
59%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C या अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, reinforced by distant low-pressure systems, is delivering persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 31. These conditions limit daytime heating while maintaining elevated nighttime humidity and reduced radiational cooling, supporting forecast overnight lows of 26–28°C according to PAGASA guidance and ensemble models. Trader consensus around 24–27°C reflects this baseline, with elevated odds on 21°C or below capturing uncertainty in localized heavy-rain cooling or model spread. Historical late-August norms near 24–26°C provide context, but current monsoon strength favors warmer minima; fresh PAGASA bulletins and updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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