The closely matched market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila’s peak temperature on August 31 under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds from the enhanced Habagat are limiting daytime solar heating and capping extremes, consistent with PAGASA’s outlook for occasional monsoon rains across Luzon. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, variations in low-level moisture, and subtle model disagreements on afternoon clearing or wind gust strength, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, but active monsoon dynamics introduce the primary near-term variability traders are pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
13%
30°C
28%
31°C
26%
32°C
23%
33°C
10%
34°C
16%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$117 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
29°C
$4 वॉल्यूम
13%
30°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
28%
31°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
26%
32°C
$327 वॉल्यूम
23%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila’s peak temperature on August 31 under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds from the enhanced Habagat are limiting daytime solar heating and capping extremes, consistent with PAGASA’s outlook for occasional monsoon rains across Luzon. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, variations in low-level moisture, and subtle model disagreements on afternoon clearing or wind gust strength, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, but active monsoon dynamics introduce the primary near-term variability traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$581समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila’s peak temperature on August 31 under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds from the enhanced Habagat are limiting daytime solar heating and capping extremes, consistent with PAGASA’s outlook for occasional monsoon rains across Luzon. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, variations in low-level moisture, and subtle model disagreements on afternoon clearing or wind gust strength, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, but active monsoon dynamics introduce the primary near-term variability traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$581समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds around 30–32°C reflect substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Manila’s peak temperature on August 31 under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds from the enhanced Habagat are limiting daytime solar heating and capping extremes, consistent with PAGASA’s outlook for occasional monsoon rains across Luzon. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, variations in low-level moisture, and subtle model disagreements on afternoon clearing or wind gust strength, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, but active monsoon dynamics introduce the primary near-term variability traders are pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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