**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~78% implied probability) due to the interplay between the active southwest monsoon and variable model guidance on daytime heating.** Persistent monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, sustains widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Official PAGASA guidance highlights a 24–27°C range with 90% rain probability, while international models (e.g., Met Office at 30°C, several global ensembles near 28–29°C) allow for localized clearing or lighter showers that could permit brief warming to 30–31°C. High humidity (often >85%) and southwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate extremes. Recent 24–48 hour trends show steady monsoon influence without rapid intensification signals, keeping lower outliers (<28°C) at low probability and very high values (≥32°C) improbable absent unexpected subsidence. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 36%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
28°C 9%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे नीचे
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
36%
31°C
22%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C या अधिक
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
28°C 9%
नया
नया
30 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे नीचे
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$160 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$37 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$311 वॉल्यूम
9%
29°C
$1,213 वॉल्यूम
18%
30°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
36%
31°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
22%
32°C
$276 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C या अधिक
$84 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~78% implied probability) due to the interplay between the active southwest monsoon and variable model guidance on daytime heating.** Persistent monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, sustains widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 30–32°C.
Official PAGASA guidance highlights a 24–27°C range with 90% rain probability, while international models (e.g., Met Office at 30°C, several global ensembles near 28–29°C) allow for localized clearing or lighter showers that could permit brief warming to 30–31°C. High humidity (often >85%) and southwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate extremes. Recent 24–48 hour trends show steady monsoon influence without rapid intensification signals, keeping lower outliers (<28°C) at low probability and very high values (≥32°C) improbable absent unexpected subsidence. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,428समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~78% implied probability) due to the interplay between the active southwest monsoon and variable model guidance on daytime heating.** Persistent monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, sustains widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 30–32°C.
Official PAGASA guidance highlights a 24–27°C range with 90% rain probability, while international models (e.g., Met Office at 30°C, several global ensembles near 28–29°C) allow for localized clearing or lighter showers that could permit brief warming to 30–31°C. High humidity (often >85%) and southwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate extremes. Recent 24–48 hour trends show steady monsoon influence without rapid intensification signals, keeping lower outliers (<28°C) at low probability and very high values (≥32°C) improbable absent unexpected subsidence. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,428समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 30, 2026, centers on 29–31°C outcomes (combined ~78% implied probability) due to the interplay between the active southwest monsoon and variable model guidance on daytime heating.** Persistent monsoon flow, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, sustains widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of 30–32°C. Official PAGASA guidance highlights a 24–27°C range with 90% rain probability, while international models (e.g., Met Office at 30°C, several global ensembles near 28–29°C) allow for localized clearing or lighter showers that could permit brief warming to 30–31°C. High humidity (often >85%) and southwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate extremes. Recent 24–48 hour trends show steady monsoon influence without rapid intensification signals, keeping lower outliers (<28°C) at low probability and very high values (≥32°C) improbable absent unexpected subsidence. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of forecast uncertainty around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न