Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a frontal system stalling over eastern Japan, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and northeasterly flow to Tokyo on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating relative to the 31°C August climatological average, producing a consensus maximum near 27°C. Trader positioning reflects this outlook, with 27°C at 43.5% implied probability and 28°C at 27.5%, while lower outcomes gain modest support from heavier-rain scenarios. Minor model spread on precipitation timing introduces the main uncertainty, with next forecast updates likely to tighten resolution criteria around the observed peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 44%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
नया
$15,557 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,557 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
44%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
29°C 10%
नया
$15,557 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,557 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,191 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$683 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$712 वॉल्यूम
5%
26°C
$3,265 वॉल्यूम
16%
27°C
$1,653 वॉल्यूम
44%
28°C
$2,617 वॉल्यूम
28%
29°C
$2,027 वॉल्यूम
10%
30°C
$1,362 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C or higher
$615 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a frontal system stalling over eastern Japan, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and northeasterly flow to Tokyo on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating relative to the 31°C August climatological average, producing a consensus maximum near 27°C. Trader positioning reflects this outlook, with 27°C at 43.5% implied probability and 28°C at 27.5%, while lower outcomes gain modest support from heavier-rain scenarios. Minor model spread on precipitation timing introduces the main uncertainty, with next forecast updates likely to tighten resolution criteria around the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,557समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a frontal system stalling over eastern Japan, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and northeasterly flow to Tokyo on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating relative to the 31°C August climatological average, producing a consensus maximum near 27°C. Trader positioning reflects this outlook, with 27°C at 43.5% implied probability and 28°C at 27.5%, while lower outcomes gain modest support from heavier-rain scenarios. Minor model spread on precipitation timing introduces the main uncertainty, with next forecast updates likely to tighten resolution criteria around the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,557समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models show a frontal system stalling over eastern Japan, delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and northeasterly flow to Tokyo on August 29. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating relative to the 31°C August climatological average, producing a consensus maximum near 27°C. Trader positioning reflects this outlook, with 27°C at 43.5% implied probability and 28°C at 27.5%, while lower outcomes gain modest support from heavier-rain scenarios. Minor model spread on precipitation timing introduces the main uncertainty, with next forecast updates likely to tighten resolution criteria around the observed peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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