Recent observational data and forecast models from sources tracking Mexico City conditions point to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C on September 3 as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. At the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and light showers typical of early September, which limit temperature drops below seasonal norms of around 10°C. Multiple model runs showed consistent overnight lows in the 12–14°C range with minimal model spread, reducing uncertainty and concentrating bets near the observed values while assigning lower odds to colder thresholds like 9°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को मेक्सिको सिटी में सबसे कम तापमान?
3 सितंबर को मेक्सिको सिटी में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 99%
9°C 20%
13°C 20%
8°C या उससे कम 14%
$1,212 वॉल्यूम
$1,212 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
नहीं
9°C
नहीं
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
हाँ
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
14°C 99%
9°C 20%
13°C 20%
8°C या उससे कम 14%
$1,212 वॉल्यूम
$1,212 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
$62 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$59 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
11°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$120 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$331 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
15°C
$186 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$62 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C या उससे अधिक
$87 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources tracking Mexico City conditions point to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C on September 3 as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. At the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and light showers typical of early September, which limit temperature drops below seasonal norms of around 10°C. Multiple model runs showed consistent overnight lows in the 12–14°C range with minimal model spread, reducing uncertainty and concentrating bets near the observed values while assigning lower odds to colder thresholds like 9°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,212समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from sources tracking Mexico City conditions point to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C on September 3 as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. At the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and light showers typical of early September, which limit temperature drops below seasonal norms of around 10°C. Multiple model runs showed consistent overnight lows in the 12–14°C range with minimal model spread, reducing uncertainty and concentrating bets near the observed values while assigning lower odds to colder thresholds like 9°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,212समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Recent observational data and forecast models from sources tracking Mexico City conditions point to a minimum temperature of 13–14°C on September 3 as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. At the city's high elevation near 2,240 meters, nocturnal radiative cooling is moderated by persistent cloud cover and light showers typical of early September, which limit temperature drops below seasonal norms of around 10°C. Multiple model runs showed consistent overnight lows in the 12–14°C range with minimal model spread, reducing uncertainty and concentrating bets near the observed values while assigning lower odds to colder thresholds like 9°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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