Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic that limit nocturnal cooling. The broader August outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favors warmer-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 40-50% probability of above-normal temperatures, consistent with the current El Niño influence extending into late summer. Market-implied odds, led by the 74-75°F bin at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited variability in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts in dew-point or cloud cover could still adjust the final minimum recorded at Central Park.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
2 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 11%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
1%
82°F या उससे अधिक
1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 11%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
$67 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$70 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$82 वॉल्यूम
1%
68-69°F
$64 वॉल्यूम
1%
70-71°F
$46 वॉल्यूम
6%
72-73°F
$93 वॉल्यूम
24%
74-75°F
$498 वॉल्यूम
43%
76-77°F
$65 वॉल्यूम
23%
78-79°F
$66 वॉल्यूम
11%
80-81°F
$67 वॉल्यूम
1%
82°F या उससे अधिक
$35 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic that limit nocturnal cooling. The broader August outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favors warmer-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 40-50% probability of above-normal temperatures, consistent with the current El Niño influence extending into late summer. Market-implied odds, led by the 74-75°F bin at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited variability in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts in dew-point or cloud cover could still adjust the final minimum recorded at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,153समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic that limit nocturnal cooling. The broader August outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favors warmer-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 40-50% probability of above-normal temperatures, consistent with the current El Niño influence extending into late summer. Market-implied odds, led by the 74-75°F bin at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited variability in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts in dew-point or cloud cover could still adjust the final minimum recorded at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,153समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic that limit nocturnal cooling. The broader August outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favors warmer-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 40-50% probability of above-normal temperatures, consistent with the current El Niño influence extending into late summer. Market-implied odds, led by the 74-75°F bin at 42.5%, reflect trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited variability in short-range forecasts this close to the observation window, though minor shifts in dew-point or cloud cover could still adjust the final minimum recorded at Central Park.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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