National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
2 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 6%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 6%
नया
नया
2 अग, 2026
71°F or below
$11 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
74-75°F
$78 वॉल्यूम
1%
76-77°F
$53 वॉल्यूम
1%
78-79°F
$17 वॉल्यूम
6%
80-81°F
$68 वॉल्यूम
26%
82-83°F
$55 वॉल्यूम
36%
84-85°F
$235 वॉल्यूम
34%
86-87°F
$504 वॉल्यूम
4%
88-89°F
$154 वॉल्यूम
2%
90°F or higher
$25 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,209समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,209समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance for New York City on August 2 projects a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow, placing the most likely outcome in the 82–83°F bin that leads trader consensus at 36%. This aligns with ensemble model runs showing modest warming from a stable air mass, tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover that can shave 1–2°F from peak readings. The closely bunched 84–85°F (33%) and 80–81°F (27%) probabilities reflect remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing, typical for a 24-hour forecast window. Historical August averages near Central Park hover around 83°F, providing climatological context for why outcomes cluster tightly around the forecast value rather than extremes. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine these ranges before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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