Recent European model runs, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a shift to cooler northwesterly flow over northern France, supporting minimum temperatures in Paris near 14–15°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that moderate radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the balance between expected nocturnal heat loss under variable cloud cover and residual warmth from recent above-average conditions. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, which could suppress temperature drops if showers develop, and the precise timing of frontal passage; historical late-August climatology places typical lows near 13–15°C. Fresh model updates tonight will likely refine resolution criteria for the official Météo-France observation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 36%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
12°C 9%
11°C या उससे कम
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
36%
16°C
16%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 36%
14°C 28%
13°C 17%
12°C 9%
11°C या उससे कम
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
36%
16°C
16%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European model runs, including ECMWF guidance, indicate a shift to cooler northwesterly flow over northern France, supporting minimum temperatures in Paris near 14–15°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that moderate radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the balance between expected nocturnal heat loss under variable cloud cover and residual warmth from recent above-average conditions. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, which could suppress temperature drops if showers develop, and the precise timing of frontal passage; historical late-August climatology places typical lows near 13–15°C. Fresh model updates tonight will likely refine resolution criteria for the official Météo-France observation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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