Recent cooling from maritime air advection and scattered showers has shifted Paris overnight minima downward after earlier August heat, with official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models centering the August 20 low near 15–17 °C. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling under light winds, while any lingering cloud or increased humidity could limit the drop by 1–2 °C; conversely, drier air and clearer conditions favor the lower end. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in model timing of frontal boundaries and local urban heat-island effects, with new 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS likely to sharpen resolution thresholds before the market settles. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16 °C) provides context, but current synoptic steering dominates the near-term outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
18°C 10%
14°C 9%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
9%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
18°C 10%
14°C 9%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
9%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooling from maritime air advection and scattered showers has shifted Paris overnight minima downward after earlier August heat, with official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models centering the August 20 low near 15–17 °C. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling under light winds, while any lingering cloud or increased humidity could limit the drop by 1–2 °C; conversely, drier air and clearer conditions favor the lower end. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in model timing of frontal boundaries and local urban heat-island effects, with new 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS likely to sharpen resolution thresholds before the market settles. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16 °C) provides context, but current synoptic steering dominates the near-term outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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