Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 43%
21°C या उससे कम 28%
23°C 17%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
12 जुल, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
28%
22°C
43%
23°C
17%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या अधिक
<1%
22°C 43%
21°C या उससे कम 28%
23°C 17%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
12 जुल, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$88 वॉल्यूम
28%
22°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
43%
23°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
17%
24°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
9%
25°C
$48 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$521 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$513 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$506 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$572 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$907 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C या अधिक
$664 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,003समाप्ति तिथि
12 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,003समाप्ति तिथि
12 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न