A warm air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated overnight temperatures in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of 22°C as the daily minimum to 58%. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show nighttime lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, well above the long-term August average minimum of roughly 12°C. This setup reflects reduced radiational cooling from elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover overnight rather than typical wintertime clear-sky drops. Model runs indicate limited further cooling before sunrise, keeping probabilities for outcomes below 20°C below 30% combined while rendering sub-18°C scenarios negligible. Updated guidance ahead of the next diurnal cycle will clarify any late adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे कम तापमान?
29 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 97%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C या उससे कम <1%
$1,520 वॉल्यूम
$1,520 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
77%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
22°C 97%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C या उससे कम <1%
$1,520 वॉल्यूम
$1,520 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$56 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$278 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$153 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$115 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$156 वॉल्यूम
29%
21°C
$28 वॉल्यूम
38%
22°C
$202 वॉल्यूम
77%
23°C या उससे अधिक
$290 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated overnight temperatures in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of 22°C as the daily minimum to 58%. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show nighttime lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, well above the long-term August average minimum of roughly 12°C. This setup reflects reduced radiational cooling from elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover overnight rather than typical wintertime clear-sky drops. Model runs indicate limited further cooling before sunrise, keeping probabilities for outcomes below 20°C below 30% combined while rendering sub-18°C scenarios negligible. Updated guidance ahead of the next diurnal cycle will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,520समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated overnight temperatures in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of 22°C as the daily minimum to 58%. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show nighttime lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, well above the long-term August average minimum of roughly 12°C. This setup reflects reduced radiational cooling from elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover overnight rather than typical wintertime clear-sky drops. Model runs indicate limited further cooling before sunrise, keeping probabilities for outcomes below 20°C below 30% combined while rendering sub-18°C scenarios negligible. Updated guidance ahead of the next diurnal cycle will clarify any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,520समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A warm air mass over southeastern Brazil has elevated overnight temperatures in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, driving the market-implied probability of 22°C as the daily minimum to 58%. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and local models show nighttime lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, well above the long-term August average minimum of roughly 12°C. This setup reflects reduced radiational cooling from elevated dew points and minimal cloud cover overnight rather than typical wintertime clear-sky drops. Model runs indicate limited further cooling before sunrise, keeping probabilities for outcomes below 20°C below 30% combined while rendering sub-18°C scenarios negligible. Updated guidance ahead of the next diurnal cycle will clarify any late adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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