Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 जुलाई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
10 जुलाई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
24°C 75%
23°C 23%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
नया
$24,650 वॉल्यूम
नया
$24,650 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
23%
24°C
75%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
24°C 75%
23°C 23%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
नया
$24,650 वॉल्यूम
नया
$24,650 वॉल्यूम
10 जुल, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
$802 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$706 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$667 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,314 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$1,295 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$2,883 वॉल्यूम
23%
24°C
$4,463 वॉल्यूम
75%
25°C
$4,098 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$2,630 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$2,938 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
$2,856 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,650समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$24,650समाप्ति तिथि
10 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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