Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
3 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 50%
32°C or higher 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
22°C or below
17%
23°C
10%
24°C
15%
25°C
19%
26°C
34%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
37%
26°C 50%
32°C or higher 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
22°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
17%
23°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
10%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
26°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
34%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
29°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
36%
30°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
22%
31°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
22%
32°C or higher
$5 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$51समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$51समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will see persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and heavy rainfall on September 3, suppressing daytime heating while limiting nighttime radiative cooling and producing a daily minimum clustered in the mid-20s °C. Trader probabilities reflect this consensus, with 25–26 °C outcomes holding the narrowest edges amid model spread on exact rain timing and wind strength; higher outcomes (29 °C+) price residual warm-air advection scenarios, while sub-24 °C tails capture potential for stronger cooling under prolonged overcast conditions. Historical early-September baselines near 24–26 °C provide context, but the immediate driver remains the latest short-range guidance showing elevated precipitation and humidity that favor the tighter 25–26 °C range. Updated model runs and official CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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