Latest high-resolution model guidance, including GFS and regional runs, points to a stable high-pressure regime over central Spain with clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima of 37–39 °C on 3 September. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating under these conditions, with recent forecasts showing a consistent upward trend from 34–36 °C on 1–2 September. Trader consensus around 38 °C (49.5 %) and 39 °C (35 %) aligns with this narrow ensemble spread, while lower probabilities for 40 °C or below 37 °C reflect limited upside potential from model uncertainty and typical daily variability. AEMET and subsequent model updates in the next 24–48 hours will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
3 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
38°C 51%
39°C 32%
37°C 12%
40°C 4%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
12%
38°C
51%
39°C
32%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 51%
39°C 32%
37°C 12%
40°C 4%
नया
नया
3 सित, 2026
33°C or below
$192 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$217 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$573 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C
$575 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$592 वॉल्यूम
12%
38°C
$925 वॉल्यूम
51%
39°C
$790 वॉल्यूम
32%
40°C
$279 वॉल्यूम
4%
41°C
$235 वॉल्यूम
1%
42°C
$295 वॉल्यूम
1%
43°C or higher
$192 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance, including GFS and regional runs, points to a stable high-pressure regime over central Spain with clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima of 37–39 °C on 3 September. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating under these conditions, with recent forecasts showing a consistent upward trend from 34–36 °C on 1–2 September. Trader consensus around 38 °C (49.5 %) and 39 °C (35 %) aligns with this narrow ensemble spread, while lower probabilities for 40 °C or below 37 °C reflect limited upside potential from model uncertainty and typical daily variability. AEMET and subsequent model updates in the next 24–48 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,866समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance, including GFS and regional runs, points to a stable high-pressure regime over central Spain with clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima of 37–39 °C on 3 September. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating under these conditions, with recent forecasts showing a consistent upward trend from 34–36 °C on 1–2 September. Trader consensus around 38 °C (49.5 %) and 39 °C (35 %) aligns with this narrow ensemble spread, while lower probabilities for 40 °C or below 37 °C reflect limited upside potential from model uncertainty and typical daily variability. AEMET and subsequent model updates in the next 24–48 hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,866समाप्ति तिथि
3 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model guidance, including GFS and regional runs, points to a stable high-pressure regime over central Spain with clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima of 37–39 °C on 3 September. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating under these conditions, with recent forecasts showing a consistent upward trend from 34–36 °C on 1–2 September. Trader consensus around 38 °C (49.5 %) and 39 °C (35 %) aligns with this narrow ensemble spread, while lower probabilities for 40 °C or below 37 °C reflect limited upside potential from model uncertainty and typical daily variability. AEMET and subsequent model updates in the next 24–48 hours will determine final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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