Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 वॉल्यूम
$2,323 वॉल्यूम
11°C
100%
11°C 99.5%
$2,323 वॉल्यूम
$2,323 वॉल्यूम
11°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies including MetService and international forecasts indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 29, 2026, is stabilizing near 11°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate northwesterly winds, and dew points around 6–9°C that limit further radiative cooling. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical August lows range 8–11°C, and current conditions show no strong cold-air advection or calm periods that would drive sharper drops. The market's 99.5% implied probability for 11°C reflects trader confidence in these stable patterns ahead of resolution. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted wind lulls or increased cloud cover enhancing heat retention, though model agreement reduces that likelihood.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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