Recent global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey reveals no precursors or elevated strain buildup consistent with an imminent megaquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater by June 30. Activity through mid-May has remained within normal ranges, featuring isolated events up to magnitude 5.8 with no sustained swarms or foreshock sequences in high-risk subduction zones. Historical patterns indicate megaquakes occur infrequently without detectable foreshocks or rapid moment release, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent market-implied probability for "No." Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected aftershock escalation in regions like the Japan Trench or Cascadia, where model runs occasionally diverge, though current data show low likelihood before the resolution window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून तक मेगाक्वेक?
30 जून तक मेगाक्वेक?
हाँ
$66,081 वॉल्यूम
$66,081 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$66,081 वॉल्यूम
$66,081 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey reveals no precursors or elevated strain buildup consistent with an imminent megaquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater by June 30. Activity through mid-May has remained within normal ranges, featuring isolated events up to magnitude 5.8 with no sustained swarms or foreshock sequences in high-risk subduction zones. Historical patterns indicate megaquakes occur infrequently without detectable foreshocks or rapid moment release, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent market-implied probability for "No." Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected aftershock escalation in regions like the Japan Trench or Cascadia, where model runs occasionally diverge, though current data show low likelihood before the resolution window closes.
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 29, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$66,081समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 29, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey reveals no precursors or elevated strain buildup consistent with an imminent megaquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater by June 30. Activity through mid-May has remained within normal ranges, featuring isolated events up to magnitude 5.8 with no sustained swarms or foreshock sequences in high-risk subduction zones. Historical patterns indicate megaquakes occur infrequently without detectable foreshocks or rapid moment release, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent market-implied probability for "No." Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected aftershock escalation in regions like the Japan Trench or Cascadia, where model runs occasionally diverge, though current data show low likelihood before the resolution window closes.
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$66,081समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 29, 2025, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey reveals no precursors or elevated strain buildup consistent with an imminent megaquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater by June 30. Activity through mid-May has remained within normal ranges, featuring isolated events up to magnitude 5.8 with no sustained swarms or foreshock sequences in high-risk subduction zones. Historical patterns indicate megaquakes occur infrequently without detectable foreshocks or rapid moment release, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent market-implied probability for "No." Realistic challenges could arise from unexpected aftershock escalation in regions like the Japan Trench or Cascadia, where model runs occasionally diverge, though current data show low likelihood before the resolution window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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