Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal generator for high-quality images and videos designed to rival OpenAI's Sora, remains in advanced testing stages as of mid-May 2026, fueling trader consensus for a potential first-half release despite earlier setbacks. Codename leaks from December 2025 positioned Mango alongside the text-focused "Avocado" for H1 2026 rollout, but a March New York Times report highlighted performance-driven delays in Meta's fruit-themed AI push via its TBD Lab. Recent code sightings of an "Avocado Mango Agent"—a multimodal variant with image generation—signal ongoing refinements, bolstered by Mark Zuckerberg's hands-on coding with the AI team and hires from OpenAI. With Llama 4's open-source momentum and competitive pressures from Google and xAI, traders eye June earnings or developer events for resolution catalysts, though technical hurdles could slip timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$25,359 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
24%
$25,359 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal generator for high-quality images and videos designed to rival OpenAI's Sora, remains in advanced testing stages as of mid-May 2026, fueling trader consensus for a potential first-half release despite earlier setbacks. Codename leaks from December 2025 positioned Mango alongside the text-focused "Avocado" for H1 2026 rollout, but a March New York Times report highlighted performance-driven delays in Meta's fruit-themed AI push via its TBD Lab. Recent code sightings of an "Avocado Mango Agent"—a multimodal variant with image generation—signal ongoing refinements, bolstered by Mark Zuckerberg's hands-on coding with the AI team and hires from OpenAI. With Llama 4's open-source momentum and competitive pressures from Google and xAI, traders eye June earnings or developer events for resolution catalysts, though technical hurdles could slip timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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