State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his recent fundraising lead announced April 16—boasting the highest cash-on-hand among candidates—and endorsement from Governor Gretchen Whitmer for the open seat vacated by Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. Moss's established leadership in the district's Oakland County core bolsters his frontrunner status against challengers like attorney Aisha Farooqi, former Rep. Andy Levin—who lost the 2022 primary here—Don Ufford, and Dave Woodward, who trail amid limited grassroots momentum or name recognition. Absent major late shifts like new polls or scandals, traders see few paths for upsets in this low-volume field.