Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race against Republican Justin Murphy, with forecasts projecting a roughly 19-point margin that supports the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory of 21 points or more. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results and Booker's long incumbency since 2013, underpins trader consensus on a comfortable hold. Murphy's narrow June primary win has not altered the race's Solid Democratic rating across major forecasters, and the absence of competitive general election polling leaves fundamentals such as fundraising and state partisanship as primary drivers. With seven weeks until the November 3 vote, limited recent campaign developments have left probabilities anchored in historical patterns for this seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडेमोक्रेट 21%+ 75%
डेमोक्रेट 18-21% 16%
डेमोक्रेट 15-18% 3.8%
रिपब्लिकन 3%+ 1.4%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 3%+
1%
रिपब्लिकन 0-3%
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 0-3%
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6%
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 6-9%
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12%
1%
डेमोक्रेट 12-15%
1%
डेमोक्रेट 15-18%
4%
डेमोक्रेट 18-21%
16%
डेमोक्रेट 21%+
75%
डेमोक्रेट 21%+ 75%
डेमोक्रेट 18-21% 16%
डेमोक्रेट 15-18% 3.8%
रिपब्लिकन 3%+ 1.4%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 3%+
$467 वॉल्यूम
1%
रिपब्लिकन 0-3%
$542 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 0-3%
$714 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 3-6%
$315 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 6-9%
$349 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डेमोक्रेट 9-12%
$499 वॉल्यूम
1%
डेमोक्रेट 12-15%
$530 वॉल्यूम
1%
डेमोक्रेट 15-18%
$488 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेमोक्रेट 18-21%
$802 वॉल्यूम
16%
डेमोक्रेट 21%+
$2,185 वॉल्यूम
75%
The 2026 New Jersey Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race against Republican Justin Murphy, with forecasts projecting a roughly 19-point margin that supports the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory of 21 points or more. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results and Booker's long incumbency since 2013, underpins trader consensus on a comfortable hold. Murphy's narrow June primary win has not altered the race's Solid Democratic rating across major forecasters, and the absence of competitive general election polling leaves fundamentals such as fundraising and state partisanship as primary drivers. With seven weeks until the November 3 vote, limited recent campaign developments have left probabilities anchored in historical patterns for this seat.
The 2026 New Jersey Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,891समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 New Jersey Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race against Republican Justin Murphy, with forecasts projecting a roughly 19-point margin that supports the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory of 21 points or more. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results and Booker's long incumbency since 2013, underpins trader consensus on a comfortable hold. Murphy's narrow June primary win has not altered the race's Solid Democratic rating across major forecasters, and the absence of competitive general election polling leaves fundamentals such as fundraising and state partisanship as primary drivers. With seven weeks until the November 3 vote, limited recent campaign developments have left probabilities anchored in historical patterns for this seat.
The 2026 New Jersey Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 New Jersey Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$6,891समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the New Jersey Senate race against Republican Justin Murphy, with forecasts projecting a roughly 19-point margin that supports the market's heavy weighting toward a Democratic victory of 21 points or more. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by the 2024 presidential results and Booker's long incumbency since 2013, underpins trader consensus on a comfortable hold. Murphy's narrow June primary win has not altered the race's Solid Democratic rating across major forecasters, and the absence of competitive general election polling leaves fundamentals such as fundraising and state partisanship as primary drivers. With seven weeks until the November 3 vote, limited recent campaign developments have left probabilities anchored in historical patterns for this seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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