Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model have shaped trader sentiment, with repeated missed targets after its May 2026 I/O announcement and subsequent “next month” and July expectations. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public or API release date, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and earlier 3.6/3.5 Flash iterations. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal prioritization elsewhere. These factors, combined with the absence of any recent official statements or developer conference catalysts, underpin the market’s strong 86% implied probability against a release by August 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo release by August 31 86.0%
August 27 5.0%
August 26 4.1%
August 31 3.6%
$267,405 वॉल्यूम
$267,405 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
<1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
4%
August 27
5%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
<1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
86%
No release by August 31 86.0%
August 27 5.0%
August 26 4.1%
August 31 3.6%
$267,405 वॉल्यूम
$267,405 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
August 17
$3,756 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 18
$3,980 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 19
$3,146 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 20
$2,786 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 21
$2,259 वॉल्यूम
<1%
August 22
$2,686 वॉल्यूम
<1%
August 23
$1,954 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 24
$4,463 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 25
$5,391 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 26
$4,370 वॉल्यूम
4%
August 27
$8,567 वॉल्यूम
5%
August 28
$4,001 वॉल्यूम
1%
August 29
$4,785 वॉल्यूम
<1%
August 30
$2,318 वॉल्यूम
<1%
August 31
$7,638 वॉल्यूम
4%
No release by August 31
$51,114 वॉल्यूम
86%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model have shaped trader sentiment, with repeated missed targets after its May 2026 I/O announcement and subsequent “next month” and July expectations. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public or API release date, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and earlier 3.6/3.5 Flash iterations. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal prioritization elsewhere. These factors, combined with the absence of any recent official statements or developer conference catalysts, underpin the market’s strong 86% implied probability against a release by August 31.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$267,405समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model have shaped trader sentiment, with repeated missed targets after its May 2026 I/O announcement and subsequent “next month” and July expectations. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public or API release date, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and earlier 3.6/3.5 Flash iterations. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal prioritization elsewhere. These factors, combined with the absence of any recent official statements or developer conference catalysts, underpin the market’s strong 86% implied probability against a release by August 31.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$267,405समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model have shaped trader sentiment, with repeated missed targets after its May 2026 I/O announcement and subsequent “next month” and July expectations. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public or API release date, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and earlier 3.6/3.5 Flash iterations. Training has already begun on Gemini 4, signaling internal prioritization elsewhere. These factors, combined with the absence of any recent official statements or developer conference catalysts, underpin the market’s strong 86% implied probability against a release by August 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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